228 Biden’s Alleged Terrible Night and the Optics vs Substance Divide

Jaime Harrison on X: “@LoveAllPersons He is serving right now and ain’t going anywhere” / X

Mike Sax on X: “Couldn’t agree more-it’s the friends with you in foxholes who are worth anything” / X

Charles M. Blow on X: “Reposting this column because not only do I stand behind it, it now feels even more relevant. https://t.co/OKxW4z4a42” / X

Josh Marshall expresses well my own extreme reticience to this “just swap this guy for another guy” Nate Silver narrative-he actually mentioned Zack Wilson

Mike Sax on X: “Maybe benching your QB is a LOT easier than your Presidential candidate at this stage of the race?” / X

(2) Josh Marshall on X: “as long the SCOTUS has given Trump a full right to pardon here are some … More Thoughts on the Debate and It’s Aftermath https://t.co/6K8oDMRPq5 via @TPM” / X

It seems astonishing indeed impossible but the NY Times STILL doesn’t think it’s done enough damage to our democracy

Mike Sax on X: “A great piece by Charles Blow underscores the fact that the moral panic over Biden’s age really is But Her Emails Circa 2024-the NY Times led that freakshow too https://t.co/HKjsSGMGpX” / X

Leta McCollough Seletzky, JD 🐳 on X: “We’re having a cancellation party, and everyone is invited” / X

Mike Sax on X: “Jen Rubin is right across the board with a particular emphasis on 3 and 4. Clearly, for instance, Nate Silver objectively WANTS Biden to either step down OR LOSE if he doesn’t to vindicate Silver’s own allegedly brilliant insight. 5 is also dead on-this entire premise is madness” / X

Mikel Jollett on X: “Yeah, I guess we have no way of knowing if Biden would be a good president. I mean, other than: – economic performance (best in world) – crime data (down 26%) – jobs (most new jobs EVER by ANY president) – dragging the country out of Covid and – saving the world economy” / X

Peter Hamby on X: “Literally *nothing* will convince Biden to stay in the race more than the New York Times Editorial Board calling on him to drop out https://t.co/XetyEt2hYj” / X

Mike Sax on X: “This is proof that his mental faculties continue to function at a high level” / X

Mike Sax on X: “I mean Biden is LITERALLY doing the job now. By this definition FDR would never have been President and he was the best POTUS EVER. He made these huge WWII decisions when he was literally DYING https://t.co/erXIGGAKtu” / X

Matthew Dowd on X: “If you are piling on Biden today, you are doing what Trump wants. Trump succeeds when he divides the country and the pro-Democracy majority. Just because you have an opinion and you believe it to be true, you might ask yourself if it is helpful and necessary.” / X

The Media Establishment Lays on the Horn: Joe Must Go – POLITICO

Jay McGill Says Make The Yankees Great Again!!! on X: “I guess if you are an upper class one percenter, you probably don’t give a shit if Trump gets back into 1600. Hey, you’ll be fine. You have the resources to get away or flee the country. Well, most of us don’t have that luxury. We will stay and fight!” / X

Optically Biden had a pretty bad night. OTOH he did get better as the night went on but OTOH the “normie” voters this sort of pageantry is targeted at are more likely to form an opinion within the first 10 minutes then reach for the remote.

Last night in the short term at least was very good for the Nate Silver Bedwetting Complex-with the futures market dropping Biden’s chances at one point effectively beneath 30%.

Manisha Sinha on X: “Not one but five @nytimes op eds asking Biden to drop out after his debate performance and not one asking Trump a convicted felon, serial sexual predator, and a man who sought to overthrow American democracy to do that! I am glad I am in Europe away from the bankruptcy of this!” / X

Elie Mystal on X: “Sitting Presidents always get worked in their first debate of reelection. Happened to all of them, including Trump last time.” / X

OTOH as Stuart Stevens points out an election is not a good play for day traders-find tweet.

https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bb9e9633-5250-47fa-8f90-c3ada6400a32_898x372.png (898×372) (substackcdn.com)

Rick Wilson on X: “Biden had a bad night. Also, Trump is an existential threat to democracy, the Republic, the Constitution, and our most fundamental liberties, in addition to being a fraud, a liar, a felon, a degenerate, a global embarrassment, and an ally of evil. Toughen up. Fight’s on.” / X

Expand the Court on X: “As is the mainstream media’s” / X

On yet another hand this is a good spot if you like a bargains-seems to me Biden at $.29 cents is a steal.

Expand the Court on X: “Actually a very good segment about the divide between substance and “optics”-would FDR be electable today? Certainly not in 1944 where he literally WAS dying (181) ‘Approaching panic’: Joy Reid reports on Democratic response to Biden debate performance – YouTube” / X

Terrell Jermaine Starr 🇺🇦🌻🇵🇸🍉✊🏾🇬🇪 on X: “I’m over in Berlin and am just catching up on the debate. I’ve watched Trump talk about Ukraine and foreign affairs(my area of expertise) and counted at least 10 lies after just a few minutes. Biden looks unsharp and, honestly, old. But Trump looks like the biggest liar and” / X

Seth Abramson on X: “15/ And before we get into why President Biden should *not* be debating tonight, and why neither CNN nor any other outlet or entity (including the moribund Presidential Debate Commission) should have sought to schedule this debate, we must understand Trump’s desperation tonight.” / X

Jamelle is right I believe

Opinion | ‘Is It Too Late?’ Four Writers on What Democrats Should Do About Biden. – The New York Times (nytimes.com)

Elie Mystal on X: “The nominee is going to be Biden. And if he doesn’t want to run anymore (and I don’t think he thinks a bad 90 minutes is career altering, even if others do) it’s going to be Harris. And that is the sum total of viable options. Send your Aaron Sorkin script back for editing.” / X

Jay McGill Says Make The Yankees Great Again!!! on X: “List of people who did the right thing and stood by Biden: Lawrence O’Donnell Keith Olbermann Stuart Stevens Rick Wilson Former President Barack Obama Vice President Kamala Harris California Governor Gavin Newsom Rep. James Clyburn Officer Harry Dunn” / X

Bakari Sellers on X: “Biden ain’t going nowhere. It’s June. Let go of your pearls and dry your bed. He lost a debate. Bad. But it’s June. You’re not replacing him. So leave your random combinations in your chats. You’re not nominating Gretch or Gavin or Wes over Kamala. Stop it. Organize. Vote. We” / X

Mike Sax on X: “Those who fail to understand this yet claim to be anti fascist are guilty of an almost CRIMINAL stupidity” / X

Mike Sax on X: “As Media Matters documents, Biden’s age really has been 2024’s But Her Emails and like with Hillary the NY Times has been the ringleader. Time to cancel our subscriptions to the NYT https://t.co/qQL4nKdGkc” / X

A New York Times reporter anonymously linked the paper’s publisher to its coverage of Biden’s age. The volume of coverage is eye-opening. | Media Matters for America

KAMALA NATION on X: “We have long recommended folks in this app cancel their subscription to @nytimes, and we’re glad that people have finally done so. 😀” / X

Andrew Weinstein on X: “@nytimes @nytopinion @maureendowd Here’s an idea – send the money you’ll save by canceling your New York Times subscription to the Biden campaign. At least they’ll put it to good use. https://t.co/1VF2CdbhsG” / X

Donald Trump Should Drop Out – Rick Wilson’s Substack

Mike Sax on X: “For the good of the country starting with literally everyone who works at the NY Times” / X

Jeff Timmer on X: “Analytics and history tell us Biden MIGHT well lose. Those same analytics and history tell us an incumbent bowing out means their party WILL lose. The theoretical magic unicorn replacement candidate (™️@MattieTimmer) is fantasy.” / X

 

Fred Wellman on X: “It’s July. Every minute wasted navel gazing on a fantasy is lost. There is no path to change nominees that doesn’t destroy the party. Anyone saying otherwise is in a bubble. I’m an old 101st guy. They still have the old airborne philosophy. You hit the ground and fight with what” /

The Fall of Nate Silver | The New Republic

The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative – The New York Times (nytimes.com)

Who Won The First Biden-Trump Presidential Debate? | FiveThirtyEight

The Case For A Democratic Surprise On Election Night | FiveThirtyEight

Cheri Jacobus on X: “People passing themselves off as political campaign experts are making laymen believe you can defeat Trump in 4 months with a new candidate after dumping an incumbent President with an incredible success record, an nearly flawless career, who had a bad debate. I blame TV bookers.” / X

Don’t Let a Biden Succession Crisis Create a Succession Crisis – emptywheel

Read the transcript and you’ll see Biden defeated Trump (thestar.com)

Cheri Jacobus on X: “delete this.” / X

Chad Smith on X: “My mom has Parkinson’s and our family welcomes any chance to bring forward a cure. What a disappointing and really unnecessary tweet. Hope it felt good to pile on. Shame on him.” / X

Laura Chapin on X: “You just mocked President Biden for signing a Parkinson’s bill with a woman, Rep Jennifer Wexton, who is resigning from Congress because she has an accelerated form of it standing next to him, because it was her bill.” / X

Maju Varghese on X: “This is what happens when a cynical, pack mentality takes hold. Parkinson’s robbed my father of any mobility in the final months of his life. I’m glad @POTUS signed the bill to support progress on a plan to address Parkinson’s and related diseases. Be better, folks. Be better.” / X

Tara Setmayer 🌻 on X: “@matthewjdowd Exactly right. The pile on does NOT help the objective of defeating Trump. At all. And those doing it know the complexities and impracticality of their demands for Biden to quit.” / X

Mike Sax on X: “I mean the lesson from LBJ is the incumbent leaving the race is a disaster for the party: (215) LBJ Put America First, DROPPED OUT. Will Biden Do The Same? Interview – YouTube” / X

Mike Sax on X: “It’s funny how worried the MSM is supposedly about “lies” Trump told 90 lies the other night and didn’t make a dent in their consciousness” / X

(1) Dana Houle on X: “1/ In the new NYT/Siena poll Joe Biden & Donald Trump are tied 47-47 in the two-way race among those who voted in 2020. With all candidates named Biden leads 42-39 among those who voted in 2020. As w every Siena poll, Trump’s margin comes from people who didn’t vote in 2020” / X

Mike Sax on X: “I mean if you HAVEN’T cancelled your NY Times subscription, I mean, what’s holding you back?” / X

Mike Sax on X: “There’s still time to cancel your NYT subscription. It’s always a good time to cancel your NYT subscription” / X

Christopher Webb on X: “WE NEED TO GET A GRIP‼️ Everyone needs to see this — every Democrat, every Independent, every member of Congress, every pundit, every journalist, every educator, EVERYONE!!! @KimberlyEAtkins takes us to school, and it’s so well needed right now. https://t.co/7G7XHQ96fL” / X

Opinion: Biden lacked oomph, but the transcript tells a different tale (msn.com)

READ: Biden-Trump debate transcript | CNN Politics

Will Bunch on X: “1. I spend too much time on here and currently about half the tweets are about Trump and Jeffrey Epstein. But there is nothing in the U.S. mainstream media What is happening here? My gut reaction is some of the “X” posts are old news or even disinformation, but mainstream…” / X

Riding With Biden 2024 on X: “Congratulations Brian-this tweet got ratioed over 5 to 1. Clearly dismissing liberals as the equivalent to Maga cultists persuaded nobody” / X

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